When Will Crabgrass Germinate?
With the rapidly warming weather, several are asking “When will crabgrass germinate?” The reason this is so important is because preemergence herbicides used for the control of crabgrass must be applied prior to emergence (except dithiopyr (Dimension) which can be used postemergence on crabgrass up to 1-tiller). There are several different ways to try and anticipate when crabgrass might germinate. My favorite is the GDD Tracker website. This blog post is an expansion of a post in 2011 with more information and sources.Soil Temperature: Research says that crabgrass  begins to germinate when the average daily soil temperatures reach 57 to 64 °F  at a one-inch depth  although large  quantities of crabgrass seedlings will not start germinating until soil  temperatures increase to 73 °F or above at a one-inch depth (Fidanza et al.,  1996).  Soil growing degree days (in  contrast to the air temperature model highlighted below) have also been sued by  others to predict large crabgrass emergence (Myers et al., 2004). The problem  with using soil temperatures to predict germination is that most turf managers do  not have access to daily soil temperature averages or are not collecting data with  their own stations for their location. Going outside and collecting a soil  temperature measurement with a thermometer provides only an instantaneous  measurement and not an average over time.
Air Temperature Using Growing  Degree Days: Because it  is often inconvenient to obtain soil temperature data and often easier to track  air temperature; consider using a growing degree day (GDD) model based upon air  temperatures. Research suggests that 200 GDD need to accumulate with a base of  50 °F (http://www.gddtracker.net/?model=10&offset=0&zip=47905)  before crabgrass germinates (source: Dr. Ron Calhoun). Currently (March 16,  2012), the models show that crabgrass still has not germinated in southern  Indiana but that it is about to emerge. This still allows for the application  of a preemergence herbicide if not yet treated.
Plant Phenological Indicators: The flowering of landscape plants can also  be used as a good estimate of when crabgrass might be germinating. Many are  aware that forsythia is traditionally considered a good plant to indicate that  crabgrass will soon start germinating. Forsythia will be in full bloom prior to  crabgrass germination and forsythia flowers will wither near crabgrass  germination (Masin et al., 2005; Cardina et al., 2011). Most think that  crabgrass germinates when forsythia blooms, but this is false. Instead, turf  managers should use forsythia blooms as an encouragement to hurry up and get  their preemergence application made before crabgrass begins to germinate. Other  plants common in the landscape that bloom before crabgrass germinates include  saucer and star magnolia and Bradford Callery pear (Cardina et al., 2011). The  initiation of redbud blooms and sometimes crabapples are also a good indication  of when crabgrass may germinate (Cardina et al., 2011). However, having said  all this, researchers have also documented that ornamental plant flowering is not always a consistent predictor of  crabgrass germination, especially with forsythia (Fry et al., 2001). 
- Cardina, J., C.P. Herms, and D.A. Herms. 2011. Phenological indicators for emergence of large and smooth crabgrass (Digitaria sanguinalis and D. ischaemum). Weed Technol. 25:141-150.
- Fidanza, M.A., P.H. Dernoeden, and M. Zhang. 1996. Degree-days for predicting smooth crabgrass emergence in cool-season turfgrass. Crop Sci. 36:990-996.
- Fry, J., S. Rodie, R. Gaussoin, S. Wiest, W. Upham, and A.Zuk. 2001. Using flowering ornamentals to guide application of preemergence herbicides in the Midwestern U.S. International Turfgrass Soc. Res. J. 9:1009-1012.
- Masin, R., M.C. Zuin, and G. Zanin. 2005. Phenological observations on shrubs to predict weed emergence. Int. J. Biometeorl. 50:23-32.
- Myers, M.W., W.S. Curran, M.J. VanGessel, D.D. Calvin, D.A. Mortensen, B.A. Majek, H.D. Karsten, and G.W. Roth. Predicting weed emergence for either annual species in the northeastern United States. Weed Sci. 52:913-919.
 
 
 
 
 
 
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